Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Dartford		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.5
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.87	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.88	4	3.54
	1.88	4	3.54
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.81	3.78	3.78
	1.9	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.55)	3.77 ↓ (3.9)	3.54 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
49.6%

Draw
24.4%

Havant & Waterlooville
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

17.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dartford's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dartford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 3.

Recent matches Dartford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Havant has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dartford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dartford won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
14.10.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dartford	4:3 ✺
07.10.23	Chippenham Town - Dartford	1:4 ✺
23.09.23	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Dartford - Welling United	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.09.23	St Albans City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
07.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	1:3 ✺
06.09.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.12.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:3
16.08.22	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2
19.03.22	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
09.02.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	0:1
31.10.20	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1
25.07.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2
10.08.19	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1

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