Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 10

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Dartford		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2.03	3.7	3.31
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.93	3.54	3.56
	1.98	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
47.7%

Draw
26.6%

Tonbridge Angels
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Dartford - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 19 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Dartford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dartford is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dartford won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Dartford - Welling United	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.09.23	St Albans City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
05.09.23	Dartford - Slough Town	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Taunton Town - Dartford	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Dartford - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
09.09.23	Tonbridge Angels - Taunton Town	0:3 ✺
05.09.23	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:5 ✺
28.08.23	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Yeovil Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.04.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	0:1
15.10.22	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
29.01.22	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	2:3
11.09.21	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
05.01.21	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
28.12.19	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	3:0
03.09.19	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	3:2

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