Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 7

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.18	3.25	2.88
	2.15	3.42	3.27
	2.1	3.62	3.1
	2.13	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.92)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
42.9%

Draw
26.9%

Havant & Waterlooville
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 3.

Bath is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Havant is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Bath won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
28.08.23	St Albans City - Bath City	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	2:6 ✺
12.08.23	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
28.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Yeovil Town	4:3 ✺
26.08.23	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.02.23	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
26.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	2:2
15.04.22	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
04.12.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	1:3
19.01.21	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3
English National League South
16.11.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	2:1

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