Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	Dartford		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.6	2.25
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.55	3.35	2.35
	2.63	3.36	2.32
	2.73	3.57	2.36
	2.6	3.5	2.45
	2.67	3.58	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
35%

Draw
26.3%

Wealdstone
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

18.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dartford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dartford - Wealdstone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
22.02.20	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Dartford - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
01.02.20	Chippenham Town - Dartford	1:5 ✺
25.01.20	Dartford - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Slough Town - Dartford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- Wealdstone
English National League South
25.02.20	Wealdstone - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
22.02.20	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	3:1 ✺
08.02.20	Wealdstone - Billericay Town	3:0 ✺
25.01.20	Wealdstone - Bath City	7:0 ✺
18.01.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Wealdstone	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.08.19	Wealdstone - Dartford	4:1
05.01.19	Wealdstone - Dartford	1:1
18.08.18	Dartford - Wealdstone	0:3
17.02.18	Wealdstone - Dartford	1:2
21.11.17	Dartford - Wealdstone	3:3
28.01.17	Wealdstone - Dartford	0:4
06.08.16	Dartford - Wealdstone	2:2

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