Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 35

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday


	Wealdstone		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.8
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.3	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.27	3.75	2.91
	2.27	3.75	2.91
	2.25	3.6	2.62
	2.22	3.59	2.85
	2.13	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	2.81 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
41.4%

Draw
25.8%

Dorking Wanderers
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wealdstone will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dewhurst M. (G) 27. Adarkwa S. 7. Allarakhia T. 3. Barker C. 6. Barrett M. 2. Cook J. (C) 19. De Silva D. 5. Dyer A. 26. Henry A. 10. Kretzschmar M. 23. Mundle-Smith J.	1. Male H. (G) 30. Bowerman S. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. (C) 19. Hollis H. 25. Kuhl A. 18. Moore L. 7. Muitt J. 2. Philpott I. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
22. Bowen S. 21. Cesay K. 9. Duku I. 14. Obiero M. 15. Young J.	29. Blair T. 12. Kennedy C. 24. Ottaway H. 4. Pybus D. 10. Rutherford A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Bowerman S. ↓, Blair T. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Moore L. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Carter C. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Barrett M. ⚽,
63', Dyer A. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
64', Henry A. 🟨,
65', Kuhl A. ↓, Pybus D. ↑,
67', Cook J. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Kretzschmar M. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Kretzschmar M. (Pen),
74', Hollis H. ↓, Rutherford A. ↑,
76', 4 - 2, Allarakhia T. ⚽,
82', Henry A. ↓, Young J. ↑,
85', De Silva D. ↓, Cesay K. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Wealdstone has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorking is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
09.04.24	Wealdstone - Southend United	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Boreham Wood - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
01.04.24	Wealdstone - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Oxford City - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
26.03.24	Altrincham - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
06.04.24	Dorking Wanderers - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Bromley	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	6:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1
22.04.23	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
22.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1
English National League South
22.02.20	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	3:1
02.11.19	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	2:2

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