Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dartford		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.47	4.15	4.90
	1.58	4.28	4.50
	1.47	4.67	5.2	Watch
	1.56	4.20	4.30
	1.53	4.05	4.80
	1.49	4.30	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.24 ↓ (4.32)	4.81 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
59.8%

Draw
21.4%

Wingate & Finchley
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dartford have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Dartford - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Greenhalgh B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Chukwu A. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Atkins R. ⚽,
90+3', Thomas J. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 15th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Dartford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Dartford is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dartford has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dartford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19:17	2	24
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24:23	1	20

Last Results with these Odds

Dartford - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.78%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.10.26	Dartford - Ramsgate	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Tadley Calleva - Dartford	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.09.26	Dartford - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Leiston - Dartford	0:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Enfield Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW
- Wingate & Finchley
English FA Cup
06.10.26	Wingate & Finchley - Bedford Town	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Bedford Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Wingate & Finchley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.26	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Dartford	3:1
08.11.25	Dartford - Wingate & Finchley	1:2
18.01.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dartford	1:2
19.10.24	Dartford - Wingate & Finchley	2:3

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