Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.30	2.40
	2.52	3.40	2.45
	2.50	3.53	2.43
	2.59	3.54	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.30	2.40
	2.50	3.74	2.50
	2.50	3.45	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.53)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
36.4%

Draw
26.3%

Dartford
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

25%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

24.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Leiston aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Leiston - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Leiston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Dartford - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Banbury United - Leiston	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Bury Town - Leiston	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Leiston - Redditch United	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stourbridge - Leiston	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWT
- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Enfield Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Dartford - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dartford - Welling United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

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