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Current Win Probability
Dečić Tuzi 44.3%
Draw 29.5%
Otrant 26.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
29.2%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
29.8%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dečić Tuzi's performance.
Otrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otrant might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dečić Tuzi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otrant could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Dečić Tuzi - Otrant Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dečić will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Otrant will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dečić won 2.
Dečić is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Otrant have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Otrant has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Dečić is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Dečić has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dečić against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Otrant
12
6
3
3
21:15
6
21
6
Decic
11
4
3
4
10:10
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Dečić Tuzi - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.