Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Olympic (Ulcinj)

Referee: Savovic M. (Mne)


	Otrant		Mornar Bar

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	2.29	3.02	3.13	Watch
	2.27	2.97	3.11
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otrant
40.1%

Draw
30.5%

Mornar Bar
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

31.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Otrant - Mornar Bar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 75. Filipovic S. 8. Gashi K. 66. Malesevic L. 10. Muharemovic H. (C) 98. Panadic M. 19. Raickovic M. 17. Sefa E. 22. Vico S. 24. Vukcevic P. 5. Vukotic N.	1. Pavlicic D. (G) 8. Djurisic M. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 10. Kishi K. 32. Ljutica V. 16. Mitrovic F. 9. Sekulic B. 21. Skrijelj D. 33. Vukotic B. 20. Vusurovic M. 22. Yao Y.
Substitutes
1. Agovic J. (G) 21. Harada H. 23. Karamanaga E. 87. Mrvaljevic B. 4. Redzovic B. 11. Rudovic A. 30. Rudovic V. 29. Terzic V. 9. Vujacic A.	19. Batrovic V. 30. Bisevic A. 7. Cetkovic M. 24. Dragojevic M. (G) 18. Merdovic L. 35. Nisavic M. 97. Seratlic E. 2. Stevanovic S. 17. Vukovic N.
Coaches
Kaplanbegu D.	Duraskovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Skrijelj D. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Vukcevic P. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Vukcevic P. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Vukcevic P. ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, Batrovic V. ⚽,
84', 4 - 2, Filipovic S. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 5 - 2, Rudovic A. ⚽,
90+2', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Otrant won 2.

Otrant is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Otrant will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Otrant won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Otrant won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Otrant
Montenegrin First League
02.04.25	Otrant - Bokelj	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Arsenal Tivat - Otrant	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Otrant - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Budućnost Podgorica - Otrant	5:1 ✺
08.03.25	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLLLW
- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
02.04.25	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Bokelj - Mornar Bar	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Sutjeska - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mornar Bar - Budućnost Podgorica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
07.12.24	Mornar Bar - Otrant	1:0
02.10.24	Otrant - Mornar Bar	1:2
04.08.24	Mornar Bar - Otrant	0:1
Montenegrin Druga Liga
04.07.20	Otrant - Mornar Bar	4:3
13.10.19	Otrant - Mornar Bar	0:0
25.08.19	Mornar Bar - Otrant	2:0
05.11.17	Mornar Bar - Otrant	3:2

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