Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leeflang B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:45	ESPN 3, ESPN


	De Graafschap		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.70	1.87
	3.35	3.6	1.82
	3.4	4.11	1.8
	3.39	4.16	1.81	Watch
	3.2	4.05	1.77
	3.38	4.31	1.92
	3.3	3.65	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)	3.94 ↑ (3.35)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
27.4%

Draw
23.1%

AZ Alkmaar
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.5%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

De Graafschap - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Van der Wal D. (G) 17. Tijink A. 24. van Wershoven R. 25. op den Kelder G. 12. Pique N. 21. Jansen B. (C) 8. Hubert K. 15. Mahieu L. 9. Roddenhof S. 10. Hassani S. 20. Kroese F.	13. Copier F. (G) 5. Groot P. 4. Verspaget A. 23. Stoop M. 2. Caprino G. 8. de Vette M. 21. Van Uden J. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 18. Dessing S. 16. Harting A. 9. Ellouzi S.
Substitutes
2. Bolder I. 19. Brummel M. 6. Engen B. 16. Heijnsdijk T. 34. Joosten K. 18. Lensink H. (G) 11. Snippe D. 7. Visser S. 1. Vissers K. (G)	1. Booms N. (G) 99. De Visser A. 28. Harting N. 27. Kok-Kroone C. 26. Oosterhof S. 14. Van Eynde Z. 11. Vos D.
Coaches
Kleinhesselink T.	Titaley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Roddenhof S. ⚽, Jansen B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', van Lunteren D. ↓, Vos D. ↑,
60', Kroese F. ↓, Visser S. ↑,
63', Caprino G. ↓, Harting N. ↑,
75', Roddenhof S. ↓, Heijnsdijk T. ↑,
81', Dessing S. ↓, De Visser A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Heijnsdijk T. ⚽,
87', Tijink A. ↓, Bolder I. ↑,
87', Hubert K. ↓, Brummel M. ↑,
87', Hassani S. ↓, Joosten K. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Visser S. ⚽, Heijnsdijk T. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )).

De Graafschap is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

AZ Alkmaar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

De Graafschap could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, De Graafschap has faced a series of away games on the road.

AZ Alkmaar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	De Graafschap W	8	4	0	4	11:12	-1	12
5	AZ Alkmaar W	8	4	0	4	9:17	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - De Graafschap	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Zwolle - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Ajax - De Graafschap	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Twente - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLL
- AZ Alkmaar Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
27.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	0:5 ✺
19.09.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LLWWW

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