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Current Win Probability
De Graafschap 49%
Draw 23.6%
Volendam 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
25%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
25%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volendam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
15.8%
5.3%
De Graafschap - Volendam Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 64.3% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Wieggers T. (G) 22. Fortes J. (C) 14. Hardeman J. 20. Hillen R. 5. Schoppema L. 23. Brittijn P. 8. Warmerdam D. 31. Bisselink S. 15. van de Haar J. 7. van Gilst T. 26. Seuntjens R.
22. Lauwers B. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 15. Benamar B. 14. Steur D. 6. Plat A. 32. Leliendal Y. 36. de Haan M. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
2. Buttner G. 9. Eduardo Y. 30. El Kadiri I. 43. Jonkers R. (G) 6. Kaak L. 12. Kremers S. (G) 52. Symons K. 42. Wevers S. 4. Willemsen M. 34. Yadir A.
2. Beukers D. 29. Blommestijn K. 50. Curiel G. 27. Hoeve Q. 19. Mau-Asam M. 34. Nazih I. 16. Ngom K. (G) 7. Ould-Chikh B. 46. van der Horst M. 20. van Oevelen K. (G)
Coaches
Vreman J.
Kruys R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, van Gilst T. ⚽, van de Haar J. (A),
16', 2 - 0, van de Haar J. ⚽, Bisselink S. (A),
28', Seuntjens R. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Muhren R. ⚽, Veerman H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Plat A. ↓, Ould-Chikh B. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, de Haan M. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
59', 2 - 3, Veerman H. ⚽,
64', Seuntjens R. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
64', Bisselink S. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
66', Oehlers A. 🟨,
69', Steur D. 🟨,
70', Brittijn P. 🟨,
71', Mbuyamba X. 🟥,
73', Muhren R. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
73', Oehlers A. ↓, Mau-Asam M. ↑,
74', Brittijn P. ↓, Wevers S. ↑,
75', van Gilst T. ↓, Buttner G. ↑,
83', Schoppema L. ↓, Willemsen M. ↑,
87', de Haan M. ↓, Nazih I. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Wevers S. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 3, El Kadiri I. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 1.
De Graafschap is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Volendam is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
De Graafschap will have a small advantage in this match.
There are questionable in De Graafschap: Colyn S.
(Knee Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-29.
Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.
Netherlands
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Wieggers T. (G) 
Fortes J. (C) 
Benamar B. 
Hoeve Q. 
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