Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 20

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Volendam		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.1	3.75	Watch
	1.77	4	3.5
	1.8	4.2	3.75	Watch
	1.81	4.33	3.82
	1.8	4.21	3.67	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.5
	1.81	4.25	3.62	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.93)	4.15 ↑ (4.11)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
51.9%

Draw
22.6%

De Graafschap
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Volendam - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: Volendam will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 6. Plat A. 18. Bukala N. 36. de Haan M. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 9. Veerman H. (C) 21. Muhren R.	16. Smits J. (G) 22. Fortes J. (C) 4. Willemsen M. 20. Hillen R. 5. Schoppema L. 27. Najah A. 15. van de Haar J. 8. Warmerdam D. 37. Marcal-Madivadua W. 26. Seuntjens R. 30. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 23. Curiel G. 77. Demircioglu C. 27. Hoeve Q. 10. Kuwas B. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 19. Mau-Asam M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 14. Steur D. 39. Zijlstra M.	3. Besselink R. 38. Eijken D. 47. El Jebli Y. 29. Grotenhuis T. 32. Hartgers N. 19. Hassan B. 6. Kaak L. 12. Kremers S. (G) 10. Mahi M. 31. Najjar R. 21. Symons K. 1. Wieggers T. (G)
Coaches
Kruys R.	Vreman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Amevor M. (Own goal),
23', 1 - 1, Muhren R. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', de Haan M. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
67', Marcal-Madivadua W. ↓, El Jebli Y. ↑,
67', Seuntjens R. ↓, Mahi M. ↑,
72', Amevor M. 🟨,
81', El Kadiri I. 🟨,
83', El Jebli Y. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Muhren R. ⚽, Bukala N. (A),
90', Schoppema L. ↓, Besselink R. ↑,
90', El Kadiri I. ↓, Grotenhuis T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Volendam could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Volendam will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in De Graafschap: Colyn S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury) van Gilst T. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Volendam won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:29 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Volendam	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	Excelsior - Volendam	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Roda - Volendam	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Volendam - Jong Ajax	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWTW
- De Graafschap
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	De Graafschap - Sparta Nijkerk	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	De Graafschap - Cambuur	0:2 ✺
09.12.24	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
25.11.24	Emmen - De Graafschap	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.08.24	De Graafschap - Volendam	4:3
08.04.22	Volendam - De Graafschap	3:1
10.09.21	De Graafschap - Volendam	0:3
24.01.21	Volendam - De Graafschap	1:4
07.11.20	De Graafschap - Volendam	2:5
Club Friendly
09.08.20	De Graafschap - Volendam	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.19	Volendam - De Graafschap	3:3

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