Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Jaguar		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	3
	2.15	3.21	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.25	3.06	3.03
	2.3	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)	3.04 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguar
40.8%

Draw
29.2%

Sport Recife
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jaguar - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor (G) 18. Edson Silva 11. Erick 2. Fabricio 13. Gil Mineiro 17. Jailton 26. Jefferson Recife 22. Medina 6. Nilson (C) 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo	42. Adriano Sousa (G) 68. Augusto 70. Breno 65. Dede (C) 71. do Rozario Teixeira F. 67. Felipinho 64. Felype Gabriel 62. Italo Lucas 77. Micael 63. Patrick 66. Rafinha
Substitutes
4. Deivid 21. Gabriel Dinamite 16. Guilherme 14. Jackson 12. Juca (G) 20. Juninho 23. Leo Mago 30. Lucas Mendes 3. Rafael 27. Ricardinho 25. Vitinho	73. Caio Moura 72. Cordeiro 90. Erick (G) 79. Hugo V. (G) 82. Jefinho 75. Maron A. 74. Matheus Bessa 76. Moreira T. 78. Richarlyson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Edson Silva ⚽,
18', Gil Mineiro 🟨,
22', Oliveira F. 🟨,
30', Italo Lucas 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Felype Gabriel ⚽,
40', 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Paulo Miranda ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oliveira F. ↓, Leo Mago ↑,
53', 2 - 2, do Rozario Teixeira F. ⚽,
59', Erik ↓, Juninho ↑,
59', Jailton ↓, Guilherme ↑,
68', do Rozario Teixeira F. ↓, Jefinho ↑,
69', Felipinho ↓, Moreira T. ↑,
74', Breno ↓, Maron A. ↑,
76', Edson Silva ↓, Vitinho ↑,
83', Medina 🟨,
85', Ruan Pablo ↓, David Farias ↑,
86', Rafinha ↓, Cordeiro ↑,
88', Dede 🟨,
90+2', Cordeiro 🟨,

Preview

Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaguar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jaguar
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.25	Jaguar - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Jaguar - Petrolina	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Maguary - Jaguar	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Jaguar - Santa Cruz Recife	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWLL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:4 ✺
03.12.25	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Santos - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
29.01.25	Sport Recife - Jaguar	4:1

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