Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata) 🌤️ ...


	Jaguar		Petrolina

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.1	3.05
	2.5	3.24	2.75
	2.24	3.31	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.47	2.96
	2.16	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.48)	3.25 ↑ (2.92)	2.98 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguar
41.1%

Draw
28.2%

Petrolina
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguar than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Jaguar - Petrolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Everton (G) 8. Brendon 11. Daniel 10. Deyvson 6. Guilherme 9. Halef Pitbull 5. Joao A. S. 4. Marcelo Amaral 7. Pedro Maycon 22. Rafael Peixoto 3. Tallys	1. Andre Lucas (G) 7. Alvaro Vieira 22. Augusto 13. Daniel Oliveira 5. Gavioli I. 19. Kiko 2. Marquinhos 6. Neto 16. Nildo Petrolina 14. Piaui 11. Tiaguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Alvaro Vieira 🟨,
29', Gavioli I. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Daniel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Tallys (Own goal),
51', 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Guilherme ⚽,
65', Kiko ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
65', Marquinhos ↓, Adriel ↑,
65', Gavioli I. ↓, Ze Felipe ↑,
65', 🟨,
71', Alvaro Vieira ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
74', Adriel 🟨,
82', Augusto 🟨,
83', Daniel ↓, Halef Pitbull ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Jaguar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
12.02.25	Maguary - Jaguar	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Jaguar - Santa Cruz Recife	0:4 ✺
29.01.25	Sport Recife - Jaguar	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Jaguar - Decisão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLLTW
- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.25	Petrolina - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Petrolina - Central SC	0:0 ✺
30.01.25	Decisão - Petrolina	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	Petrolina - Maguary	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTL

Jaguar - Petrolina