Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 28 November 2022, Monday


	Defence Force		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.04	3.15	3.3
	1.95	3.03	3.71
	2	2.8	3.7
	1.97	3	3.88
	2.08	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	3.57 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
44.9%

Draw
29.8%

Ethio Electric
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Defence Force - Ethio Electric Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Defence Force will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ethio Electric will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defence Force: 16.1% – 74.9%.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Defence Force is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ethio Electric has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Defence Force will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.11.22	Defence Force - Sidama Coffee	0:2 ✺
17.11.22	Saint George - Defence Force	0:0 ✺
10.11.22	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
26.10.22	Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTLL
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
23.11.22	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:4 ✺
18.11.22	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Wolkite Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Ethio Electric - Adama City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

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