Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Addis Abeba Stadium (Addis Abeba)


	Defence Force		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.63	3.4	5.4
	1.63	3.4	5.4
	1.61	3.53	5.64
	1.56	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)	5.46 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
57.1%

Draw
26.2%

Ethiopian Medhin
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) 18. Bekele S. 12. Dawiti Y. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)	16. Shanko T. (G) 14. Abera M. 22. Geremew Y. 18. Gezahegn W. 3. Kassaye Y. 2. Mohammed A. (C) 15. Ochenge B. 29. Philip J. 32. Sani A. 8. Sherefa H. 50. Solomon M.
Substitutes
23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 5. Badu S. 22. Chilio W. (G) 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 24. Godana B. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 32. Mutalabu A. 47. Ofisa M. 9. Saliso S.	24. Ahmed S. 23. Darza Y. 20. Dejene T. 28. Getachew A. 17. Kebala M. 25. Kebede E. (G) 10. Mulugeta B. 1. Nuri A. (G) 19. Tesfaye A. 4. Tute W. 6. Washe M. 27. Wondimu A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Bekele S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Mohammed A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 2, Mohammed A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ethiopian Medhin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Defence Force have a series of home games.

In this match Defence Force is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
06.04.24	Defence Force - Saint George	0:0 ✺
28.03.24	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLL
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
07.04.24	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
01.12.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1
20.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1
26.10.22	Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2

Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide