Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Defence Force		Welayta Dicha

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.8	4.2
	1.89	2.95	4.39
	1.9	2.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.22)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	4.36 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
47.8%

Draw
31.5%

Welayta Dicha
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

33.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defence Force's performance.

Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defence Force that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welayta Dicha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defence Force - Welayta Dicha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) 18. Bekele S. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)	1. Genetu B. (G) 19. Achiso A. 7. Bekele B. 15. Bogale M. 2. Demissie A. 9. Gezahegn B. (C) 17. Girma F. 5. Kebede K. 44. Nasaro N. 8. Seifu B. 11. Zelalem A.
Substitutes
23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 5. Badu S. 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 47. Ofisa M. 9. Saliso S. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G) 44. Wondimu D.	24. Abel A. 16. Badeg A. 31. Eshetu E. (G) 23. Gashaw N. 6. Jagiso S. 28. Kirkos K. 37. Mulukun D. 14. Nicole M. 29. Tamesgan F. 21. Tesfaye E. 30. Yisehak A. (G) 20. Zeleke H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Wondimu M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 1.

Recent matches Defence Force is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Welayta Dicha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Defence Force is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
17.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2 ✺
08.03.24	Adama City - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Shashemene Kenema	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
28.10.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	0:1
27.04.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	1:0
05.11.22	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	0:1
19.06.22	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	0:0
11.02.22	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	0:1
26.02.17	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	0:0

Defence Force - Welayta Dicha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide