Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Defence Force		Sebeta City

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Defence Force
33.3%

Draw
34%

Sebeta City
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16).

Recent matches Defence Force is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sebeta City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.04.22	Defence Force - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
02.03.22	Defence Force - Jimma Aba Jifar	0:0 ✺
22.02.22	Hawassa City - Defence Force	3:2 ✺
17.02.22	Adama City - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
11.02.22	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWL
- Sebeta City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.03.22	Saint George - Sebeta City	3:1 ✺
28.02.22	Arba Minch - Sebeta City	1:1 ✺
21.02.22	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5 ✺
09.02.22	Hadiya Hossana - Sebeta City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL

Ethiopian Premier League
26.10.21	Sebeta City - Defence Force	0:1

Defence Force - Sebeta City