Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.5
	2.32	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.03	3.76
	2.27	3.14	3.44	Watch
	2.16	3.11	3.66	Watch
	2.32	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)	3.08 ↑ (3.07)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
42%

Draw
30.7%

Tigre
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

32.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

Defensa y Justicia - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tigre will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 30. Balanta K. 28. Aguilera E. 3. Soto A. 8. Perez C. 5. Gutierrez K. 20. Gonzalez L. 10. Molinas A. 11. Togni G. 9. Miritello J. B.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 8. Garay M. 5. Arias R. 30. Paz N. 6. Sosa D. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Gonzalez S. 47. Saralegui J. 33. Cabrera E. 19. Oviedo A. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
34. Delgado R. 6. Ferreira L. 26. Gonzalez F. 29. Gonzalez G. 24. Gonzalez M. 16. Larralde V. 1. Masuero F. (G) 7. Osorio A. 33. Palavecino N. 15. Perez D. 37. Ramirez M. 35. Schamine B.	18. Armoa B. 40. Barrionuevo A. 28. Benitez R. 20. Fertoli H. 22. Lopez J. 25. Moreno V. 4. Ortega M. 23. Pineiro G. 7. Ramirez E. 11. Sarmiento D. 24. Sosa A. (G)
Coaches
de Muner P.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Aguilera E. ↓, Delgado R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Molinas A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Perez C. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
58', 1 - 1, Paz N. ⚽,
66', Paz N. 🟨,
72', Oviedo A. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
72', Cabrera E. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
72', Togni G. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Medina S. ⚽, Armoa B. (A),
87', Saralegui J. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
87', Russo I. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
87', Arias R. ↓, Barrionuevo A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 4.

Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)

There will not play in Tigre: Protti I. (Injury) Romero D. (Shoulder Injury) Zalazar M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.25	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.02.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLW
- CA Tigre
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Tigre - Berazategui	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	Tigre - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Tigre	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Tigre - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.11.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
20.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:0
13.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	0:0
Copa Argentina
08.09.21	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	0:1 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.11.18	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	2:1

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