Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.8
	1.85	3.4	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5.09
	1.83	3.56	4.46	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.4
	1.86	3.59	4.63	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.51 (3.51)	4.58 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
52.2%

Draw
27.1%

Defensa y Justicia
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

29.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 42. Blondel L. 40. Di Lollo L. 6. Rojo M. 23. Blanco L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 43. Delgado M. 22. Zenon K. 8. Carlos Palacios 10. Cavani E. (C) 9. Gimenez M.	25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 28. Aguilera E. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 8. Perez C. 21. Miranda M. 10. Molinas A. 11. Togni G. 7. Osorio A.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 24. Barinaga J. 5. Battaglia R. 30. Belmonte T. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 19. Martegani A. 34. Mendia M. 16. Miguel Merentiel 3. Saracchi M. 7. Zeballos E.	30. Balanta K. 19. Barbona D. 34. Delgado R. 26. Gonzalez F. 20. Gonzalez L. 24. Gonzalez M. 1. Masuero F. (G) 9. Miritello J. B. 15. Perez D. 37. Ramirez M. 38. Rubio T. 35. Schamine B.
Coaches
Gago F.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Cavani E. ⚽, Carlos Palacios (A),
26', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽, Carlos Palacios (A),
35', Gimenez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Miranda M. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
46', Osorio A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽, Blondel L. (A),
62', Molinas A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
62', Perez C. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
65', Gimenez M. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
65', Zenon K. ↓, Battaglia R. ↑,
68', Schamine B. 🟨,
70', Togni G. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
73', Belmonte T. 🟨,
76', Cavani E. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
76', Carlos Palacios ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
89', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
89', Rojo M. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Injury) Belmonte T. (Injury) Figal J. (Injury) Lema C. (Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Injury) Saracchi M. (Inactive) Velasco A. (Injury)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K. (Inactive)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.03.25	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	2:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.02.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.25	Defensa y Justicia - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.07.24	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.02.24	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
15.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.03.23	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
21.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.05.22	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.21	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:0

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