The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 45.6%
Draw 32.4%
Defensa y Justicia 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45%
30.9%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
31%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
29.4%
5.9%
Platense - Defensa y Justicia Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 42% – 87.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Platense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 24. Barrios M. 15. Amarfil M. 7. Mainero G. 10. Zapiola F. 33. Gauto J. 9. Nasif T.
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 33. Souto L. 6. Amor E. 29. Fernandez D. 17. Hausch A. 11. Banega E. 10. Molinas A. (C) 2. Lucero S. 20. Botta R. 9. Miritello J. B. 24. Gutierrez J.
Substitutes
17. Bussio F. 27. Dalmasso S. 23. Heredia L. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 21. Lotti A. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 6. Raggio E. 43. Retamar K. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M.
23. Aguiar M. 25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 19. Barbona D. 26. Caceres D. 30. Fernandez D. 55. Lopez J. 28. Loza V. 21. Martinez D. 27. Pereyra E. 32. Roselli N.
Coaches
Zunino W.
Soso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
60', Zapiola F. 🟨,
64', Gauto J. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
64', Nasif T. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
65', Barrios M. ↓, Bussio F. ↑,
65', Banega E. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
65', Hausch A. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
67', Botta R. 🟨,
71', Fernandez D. 🟨,
79', Mainero G. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
79', Amarfil M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
80', Botta R. ↓, Roselli N. ↑,
80', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
89', Lucero S. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Platense could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla H.
(Muscle Injury)
Gomez I.
(Muscle Injury)
Goni G.
(Muscle Injury)
Minerva F.
(Muscle Injury)
Ocampo A.
(Inactive)
Portillo M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A.
(Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa S.
(Red Card)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).