Match Info

Primera B - Round 20

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Merlo		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.75	3.25
	2.25	2.62	3.45	Watch
	2.37	2.73	3.52
	2.4	2.47	3.68	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.4
	2.29	2.64	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	2.62 ↓ (2.79)	3.47 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
39.3%

Draw
34.6%

Argentino de Merlo
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

32.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

32.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 4. Barrientos L. 11. Cuenca C. 2. Figueredo L. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 10. Sandoval I. 7. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.	1. Oviedo G. (G) 3. Lopez F. 6. Lopez V. 9. Martin B. 8. Medina C. 11. Ortiz J. 5. Paz Sierra L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Scisci G. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
Substitutes
15. Busto J. 20. Cabrera D. 19. Diaz A. 17. Hernandez R. 14. Ibarra L. 16. Miguez L. 18. Paez A. M. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Sineiro C.	12. Bardagi N. (G) 17. Candelaresi T. 18. Jerez T. 15. Maceri B. 19. Maldonado F. 14. Monge L. 20. Moreira L. 13. Rodriguez J. 16. Sica N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Salvador A. ⚽,
19', Aguerre F. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Salvador A. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Ursino D. 🟨,
37', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
45', Paz Sierra L. 🟨,
45+3', Barrientos L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Barrientos L. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
55', Oviedo G. 🟨,
56', Paz Sierra L. ↓, Sica N. ↑,
61', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
61', Cuenca C. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Sandoval I. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Ortiz J. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
68', Martin B. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
80', Scisci G. ↓, Maceri B. ↑,
80', Ursino D. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Vallejo L. ⚽,
90', Vallejo L. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.

Deportivo Merlo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Argentino de Merlo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Merlo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Argentino de Merlo - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 28.82%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
05.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWW
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
06.06.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Argentino de Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.08.25	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:2
28.03.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
14.07.24	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	4:0
25.02.24	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:1
16.09.23	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
13.05.23	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	4:0
Argentinian Primera C
23.01.21	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	1:3

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