The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 43.8%
Draw 33.1%
Argentino de Merlo 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
31%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 9. Caceres P. 8. Centurion F. 4. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
1. Oviedo G. (G) 9. Jerez T. 3. Lopez V. 5. Maceri B. 4. Marcial C. 8. Medina C. 11. Ortiz J. 6. Rodriguez J. 10. Salvador A. 7. Scisci G. 2. Tamborelli E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Salvador A. ⚽,
12', Lopez F. 🟨,
17', Fantino L. 🟨,
28', Laborda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez F. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
46', Fantino L. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
46', Centurion F. ↓, Daivez A. ↑,
66', Marcial C. 🟨,
67', Gimenez K. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
69', Durante P. 🟨,
70', Paz Sierra L. ↓, Maceri B. ↑,
74', Martin B. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
74', Ortiz J. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Jerez T. ⚽,
84', Laborda L. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
90+3', Salvador A. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 1.
Sportivo Italiano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Argentino de Merlo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sportivo Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sportivo Italiano might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.39%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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