Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Defensores de Belgrano		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.20	5.25
	1.7	3.05	5.3	Watch
	1.8	3.34	5.66
	1.73	3.32	5.47	Watch
	1.76	3.05	5.65
	1.74	3.12	5.78	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.14)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	5.51 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
53.8%

Draw
29.4%

Racing de Córdoba
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing de Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Defensores de Belgrano - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Gigli L. 3. Perez I. 8. Jerez Silva L. 5. De Tomasso J. 10. Benitez A. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Aranda G. (C) 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 3. Bay J. 8. Machado M. 7. Pena L. C. 5. Olinick A. 10. Taborda F. 11. Gonzalez S. 9. Chavarria P.
Substitutes
20. Ardaiz J. 16. Borsotti N. 18. Garcia D. 17. Landriel L. 14. Magallanes D. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 15. Rodriguez L. 13. Rodriguez M. 19. Tcherkaski F.	14. Avila L. 17. Bustos A. 15. Diaz E. 16. Kummer T. 12. Laborda G. (G) 19. Monticelli F. 13. Sanchez M. 20. Valsangiacomo I. 18. Viano L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gamarra G. ⚽,
14', Chamorro R. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Gonzalez E. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Olinick A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez Pereyra M. ↓, Avila L. ↑,
46', Olinick A. ↓, Kummer T. ↑,
46', Chavarria P. ↓, Valsangiacomo I. ↑,
46', Benitez A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Gamarra G. ⚽, De Tomasso J. (A),
60', Machado M. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
60', Taborda F. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
64', Gonzalez E. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
64', Aguirre E. ↓, Magallanes D. ↑,
70', Moyano P. ↓, Landriel L. ↑,
73', Gomez B. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
90', Magallanes D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Defensores is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing de Córdoba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Defensores is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensores won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.31%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Racing de Córdoba - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Racing de Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Racing de Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Racing de Córdoba - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Almirante Brown - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0

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