The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 38.3%
Draw 34.4%
Estudiantes de Caseros 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
34.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
35.7%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - CA Estudiantes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. De Tomasso J. 6. Gigli L. 3. Rodriguez M. 8. Benitez A. 10. Landriel L. 5. Jerez Silva L. 11. Gonzalez E. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Ardaiz J.
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Albarracin M. 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Quinteros F. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 7. Ardiles F. 10. Camacho S. 11. Acosta E. 9. Acosta M.
Substitutes
16. Acosta D. A. I. 17. Ciccolini L. 14. Gamarra G. 18. Garcia D. 15. Gutierrez I. 19. Moyano P. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 20. Tcherkaski F. 13. Vaquer N.
20. Almiron E. 13. Bernardi B. 18. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 16. Sanchez de Leon B. 17. Silva L. 15. Squie T. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Benitez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Caro Nicolas 🟨,
49', Sena F. 🟨,
55', Caro Nicolas ↓, Dure F. ↑,
55', Camacho S. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. ⚽,
64', Aguirre E. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
67', Albarracin M. 🟨,
72', Landriel L. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
79', Acosta E. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
79', Sena F. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
81', Ardaiz J. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Medina A. (Own goal),
86', 🟨,
87', Albarracin M. 🟨,
87', Vera I. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
90+2', Acosta M. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 4.
Recent form of Defensores has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CA Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Defensores is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Estudiantes de Caseros - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.