Match Info
Primera C - Round 22Date: 31 July 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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 |
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 |
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Defensores de Cambaceres |
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Lugano |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.65 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.60 |
2.75 |
2.70 |
|
 |
2.53 |
2.68 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.59 |
2.69 |
2.98 |
 Watch |
 |
2.35 |
2.65 |
3.00 |
|
 |
2.67 |
2.83 |
2.93 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.70 |
2.90 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.28) |
2.71 ↓
(2.8) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Defensores de Cambaceres
35.7% | Draw
33.3% | Lugano
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', Cagliari T. 🟥,
- 29', 0 - 1, Coselli M. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Coronel E. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 2, Gomez A. N. ⚽,
- 45+1', Soria R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Schmidt B. 🟥,
- 72', Garcia T. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambaceres won 2.Cambaceres is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Lugano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cambaceres won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Cambaceres won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera C | | | 04.04.26 | Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres | 1:2 | | 30.08.25 | Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres | 2:2 | | 20.05.25 | Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano | 2:0 | | 09.08.24 | Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres | 1:1 | | 08.03.24 | Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano | 1:1 | | Argentinian Primera D | | | 20.11.23 | Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano | 2:1 | | 07.08.23 | Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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