Match Info

Primera C - Round 17

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sacachispas		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.10	4.75
	1.68	3.25	4.75
	1.77	3.07	4.91
	1.86	2.97	4.57	Watch
	1.69	3.00	4.85
	1.72	3.13	5.01
	1.67	3.10	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.2)	3.09 ↑ (3)	4.83 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
52.2%

Draw
29.2%

Lugano
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacachispas's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacachispas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sacachispas - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Baez C. ⚽,
88', Abregu A. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Sacachispas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sacachispas is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sacachispas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.05%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera C
15.06.26	Sacachispas - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Estrella del Sur - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
03.06.26	Sacachispas - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sacachispas - Atlético Claypole	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
14.06.26	Lugano - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Argentino de Rosario - Lugano	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Lugano	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.02.26	Lugano - Sacachispas	3:0

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