Match Info

Primera C - Round 18

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lugano		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.85	4.33
	1.97	2.90	3.85
	1.85	2.88	4.76
	1.85	2.90	4.82	Watch
	1.82	2.75	4.70
	1.85	2.82	4.87
	1.85	2.85	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	4.53 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
48.4%

Draw
31.7%

Justo José de Urquiza
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

32.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

31.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Lugano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Justo José Urquiza has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lugano is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
27.06.26	Sacachispas - Lugano	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Lugano - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Argentino de Rosario - Lugano	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Lugano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
27.06.26	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	5:0 ✺
13.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Justo José de Urquiza	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	0:2
16.09.25	Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:2
01.06.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	3:1
03.09.24	Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:2
31.03.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	2:1

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