Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday


	Defensores de Pronunciamiento		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.85	2.1
	3.4	2.6	2.3
	3.35	2.85	2.17
	3.59	2.57	2.25
	3.5	2.8	2.15
	3.36	2.98	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.99)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
26.3%

Draw
32.5%

Racing de Córdoba
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

32%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

30.8%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing de Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	70.6%	17.6%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Def Pronunciamiento will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing de Córdoba is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Racing de Córdoba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	4:1 ✺
11.06.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:1 ✺
05.06.22	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Crucero del Norte - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWT
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.06.22	Racing de Córdoba - General San Martín de Formosa	4:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.06.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.06.22	Central Norte - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
05.06.22	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
29.05.22	Douglas Haig - Racing de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.09.21	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:2
19.06.21	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Racing de Córdoba	1:0

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