Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá) 🌤️ ...


	Crucero del Norte		Defensores de Pronunciamiento

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.9
	1.9	3	4
	1.91	3.15	3.75
	1.9	3.05	3.87
	1.92	3.18	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.81)	3.08 ↑ (2.81)	3.9 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
47.4%

Draw
29.4%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

33%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crucero del Norte's performance.

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crucero del Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Crucero del Norte - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crucero del Norte will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crucero del Norte: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Crucero del Norte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crucero del Norte will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crucero del Norte won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Crucero del Norte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	1:1 ✺
11.05.22	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	0:2 ✺
06.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Crucero del Norte	1:2 ✺
30.04.22	Crucero del Norte - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TLWWT
- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:1 ✺
11.05.22	Atlético Paraná - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:3 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Unión de Sunchales - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.21	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Crucero del Norte	1:1
08.05.21	Crucero del Norte - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0
26.01.20	Crucero del Norte - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0
31.08.19	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Crucero del Norte	0:1

Crucero del Norte - Defensores de Pronunciamiento