Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Öster

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.1	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.96	3.73	4.02
	1.89	3.68	3.99	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
	1.91	3.6	4.01	Watch
	1.76	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.55 ↓ (3.85)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
49.2%

Draw
26.5%

Öster
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Degerfors - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Öster will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Degerfors: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Degerfors (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Öster (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 2 - 50%). Öster (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Forsell R. (G) 16. Ohlsson S. 5. Pikkarainen J. 7. Ohlsson S. 12. Lindell E. 11. Gravius C. 8. Girmai N. (C) 2. Diaby M. 20. Barsoum E. 19. Faraj O. 21. Pihlstrom E.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 15. Kricak I. (C) 5. Adolfsson M. 21. Bergquist L. 18. Ljung D. 3. Gyamfi K. 7. Seger D. 19. Tamminen M. 20. Aliev A. 14. Olsson D.
Substitutes
9. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 17. Kassi L. 22. Lundgren M. 15. Moro N. 27. Salifu Z. 24. Smedberg H.	16. Adjei R. 26. Christensen M. 22. Gabrielsson O. 29. Kouakou C. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 23. Rodic V. 6. Soderberg N. 9. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Foyston M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Diaby M. (Own goal),
18', 1 - 1, Faraj O. (Pen),
43', 1 - 2, Olsson D. ⚽, Ljung D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olsson D. ↓, Rodic V. ↑,
56', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
69', Diaby M. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
72', Gyamfi K. ↓, Starke S. ↑,
72', Tamminen M. ↓, Christensen M. ↑,
72', Seger D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
78', Starke S. 🟨,
80', Bergquist L. 🟨,
89', Ohlsson S. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
89', Barsoum E. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
90+3', Aliev A. 🟨,
90+4', Aliev A. ↓, Gabrielsson O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2.

Recent form of Degerfors has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Öster has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Degerfors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Öster: Ask D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Degerfors: Fisic A. (Inactive) Hien L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Öster: Lindahl A. (Inactive) Soderberg N. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.05.25	Hammarby - Degerfors	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Degerfors - IFK Göteborg	1:3 ✺
15.05.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Degerfors - Malmö	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Degerfors - Sirius	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLT
- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.25	Värnamo - Öster	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Öster - GAIS	1:1 ✺
15.05.25	IFK Göteborg - Öster	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Öster - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Öster - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.11.24	Degerfors - Öster	1:2
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1
17.10.20	Öster - Degerfors	2:0
29.07.20	Degerfors - Öster	3:1
26.10.19	Degerfors - Öster	2:0
16.04.19	Öster - Degerfors	1:1
Svenska Cupen
02.03.19	Degerfors - Öster	1:3

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