Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Öster		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.78
	3.5	3.75	2.06	Watch
	3.46	3.63	2.14
	3.53	3.67	2.02
	4	3.6	1.83
	3.55	3.64	2.02	Watch
	3.45	3.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (3.95)	1.99 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
26.2%

Draw
26.1%

Elfsborg
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

23.1%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

22.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Öster - Elfsborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Öster (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Elfsborg (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Elfsborg (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elfsborg will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Öster (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Elfsborg (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 3. Gyamfi K. 15. Kricak I. (C) 5. Adolfsson M. 21. Bergquist L. 10. Morfelt C. 26. Christensen M. 7. Seger D. 19. Tamminen M. 29. Kouakou C. 18. Ljung D.	1. Eriksson S. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 29. Buhari I. 2. Yegbe T. 28. Aronsson F. 10. Olsson S. 27. Zeneli B. 23. Hult N. 26. Richtner L. 24. Ihler F. 25. Sigurpalsson A.
Substitutes
16. Adjei R. 20. Aliev A. 8. Ask D. 22. Gabrielsson O. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 14. Olsson D. 23. Rodic V. 25. Sanyang Y. 4. Starke S.	14. Berndtsson K. 4. Granli D. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 21. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 6. Wikstrom R.
Coaches
Foyston M.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Adolfsson M. 🟨,
15', Ihler F. 🟨,
19', Adolfsson M. ↓, Adjei R. ↑,
23', Zeneli B. 🟨,
23', Morfelt C. 🟨,
38', Hult N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Holmen S. ⚽,
57', Tamminen M. ↓, Sanyang Y. ↑,
63', Holmen S. 🟨,
68', Christensen M. ↓, Ask D. ↑,
68', Kouakou C. ↓, Aliev A. ↑,
73', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
73', Richtner L. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
78', Ihler F. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
78', Aronsson F. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 4).

Öster is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elfsborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Elfsborg is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Elfsborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Öster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Öster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.05.25	Öster - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
29.04.25	Malmö - Öster	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Djurgården - Öster	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Öster - AIK	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Halmstad - Öster	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.05.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	AIK - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Elfsborg - Sirius	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
15.03.14	Elfsborg - Öster	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.08.13	Elfsborg - Öster	2:4
28.04.13	Öster - Elfsborg	1:3

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