Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 7

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Öster		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4	1.6
	6	4.5	1.54	Watch
	6.19	4.38	1.54
	5.98	4.28	1.54	Watch
	5	4	1.6
	5.7	4.33	1.55	Watch
	6	4.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (5)	4.26 ↑ (4.25)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
16.4%

Draw
22.3%

Hammarby
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.8%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Öster - Hammarby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Öster (5.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hammarby (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hammarby will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Öster (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Hammarby (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 3. Gyamfi K. 21. Bergquist L. 18. Ljung D. 8. Ask D. 7. Seger D. (C) 10. Morfelt C. 20. Aliev A. 25. Sanyang Y.	1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 6. Vagic P. 19. Pinas S. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 20. Besara N. (C) 7. Abraham P. 9. Erabi J. 18. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
26. Christensen M. 29. Kouakou C. 2. Lindahl A. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 14. Olsson D. 23. Rodic V. 6. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S. 19. Tamminen M.	23. Boudah A. 17. Fofana I. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 29. Kabore M. 13. Karlsson J. 34. Lindberg W. 26. Madjed M. 22. Ortmark J. 21. Strand S.
Coaches
Foyston M.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', Erabi J. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Abraham P. ⚽, Eriksson V. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Besara N. ⚽, Skoglund H. (A),
40', Ljung D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
43', 0 - 3, Besara N. ⚽, Boudah A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ask D. ↓, Christensen M. ↑,
64', Aliev A. ↓, Kouakou C. ↑,
64', Sanyang Y. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
69', Soderberg N. 🟨,
72', Tounekti S. ↓, Madjed M. ↑,
77', Varmanen T. ↓, Lindahl A. ↑,
86', Pinas S. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
86', Tekie T. ↓, Lindberg W. ↑,
86', Abraham P. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
90', Bergquist L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Öster has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hammarby is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hammarby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby is the team to beat.

There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury) Johansson O. (Injury) Winther F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Öster: Lindahl A. (Inactive) Seger D. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.04.25	Malmö - Öster	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Djurgården - Öster	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Öster - AIK	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Halmstad - Öster	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Öster - Häcken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.25	Häcken - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Hammarby - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.06.22	Öster - Hammarby	1:2
Swedish Superettan
20.07.14	Hammarby - Öster	3:0
29.06.14	Öster - Hammarby	0:2
Club Friendly
01.02.14	Öster - Hammarby	0:0
Swedish Superettan
03.11.12	Öster - Hammarby	0:0

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