Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 4

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2


	Degerfors		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.48
	2.98	3.23	2.57
	2.86	3.27	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.85	3.17	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.98)	3.17 ↓ (3.45)	2.49 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
32.8%

Draw
29.6%

AIK
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Degerfors - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Igonen M. (G) 6. Sundgren D. 15. Moro N. 16. Ohlsson S. (C) 18. Diatara S. 4. Karlsson K. 22. Girmai N. 13. Yiriyon G. 10. Rafferty M. 20. Barsoum E. 14. Fritzson L.	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 21. Wilson S. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 25. Cisse I. 5. Bergquist L. 36. Yohanna Z. 33. Csongvai A. 7. Mujanic A. 8. Hove J. 9. Flataker E. 11. Andersson V.
Substitutes
21. Berisson A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 12. Lindell E. 19. Lindgren A. 27. Salifu Z. 17. Taranis A. 11. Vukojevic D.	18. Ali A. 45. Ayari T. 10. Celina B. 37. Faqa A. 29. Filling K. 46. Geiger Y. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 48. Kouame A. 12. Pavey C.
Coaches
Goitom H.	Riveiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Wilson S. (Own goal),
21', Yohanna Z. 🟨,
43', Fritzson L. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Hove J. ⚽, Flataker E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Cisse I. 🟨,
54', Andersson V. ↓, Filling K. ↑,
63', Barsoum E. ↓, Taranis A. ↑,
67', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
75', Mujanic A. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
76', Flataker E. ↓, Ayari T. ↑,
76', Karlsson K. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Taranis A. ⚽, Vukojevic D. (A),
86', Hove J. 🟨,
90+2', Sundgren D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.

Recent performances by Degerfors have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AIK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Degerfors: Diaby M. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Injury) Jakobsson W. (Inactive) Ohlsson S. (Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Edh E. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Helm A. (Inactive) Nissen F. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Knee Injury) Thychosen M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in AIK: Besirovic D. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20:35	-15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.04.26	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Degerfors - Sirius	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Degerfors - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
08.03.26	IFK Göteborg - Degerfors	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.04.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brommapojkarna - AIK	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	AIK - Halmstad	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AIK - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
14.03.26	GAIS - AIK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.25	Degerfors - AIK	0:1
13.07.25	AIK - Degerfors	3:0
Svenska Cupen
14.02.25	AIK - Degerfors	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.09.23	AIK - Degerfors	2:0
20.05.23	Degerfors - AIK	2:1
18.09.22	AIK - Degerfors	1:1
26.06.22	Degerfors - AIK	1:1

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