Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 3

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2


	Degerfors		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.52	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.66	3.24	2.89
	2.52	3.21	2.91	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.59	3.13	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.01)	3.16 ↓ (3.49)	2.8 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
36.7%

Draw
29.7%

Elfsborg
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Degerfors's performance.

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Degerfors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Degerfors - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Igonen M. (G) 6. Sundgren D. (C) 16. Ohlsson S. 5. Pikkarainen J. 18. Diatara S. 4. Karlsson K. 22. Girmai N. 11. Vukojevic D. 10. Rafferty M. 20. Barsoum E. 14. Fritzson L.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 4. Isherwood T. 6. Wikstrom R. 8. Holmen S. (C) 15. Hedlund S. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 23. Hult N. 11. Silverholt T. 17. Frick P. 9. Zeneli A.
Substitutes
21. Berisson A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 8. Hussein B. 24. Leonardsson O. 19. Lindgren A. 15. Moro N. 27. Salifu Z. 17. Taranis A. 13. Yiriyon G.	19. Beck J. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 2. Mohammed R. 27. Okeke V. 21. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 25. Sigurpalsson A.
Coaches
Solberg T.	Hamberg B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Karlsson K. 🟨,
32', Fritzson L. 🟨,
38', Zeneli A. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
51', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Magnusson J. ⚽,
55', Rafferty M. 🟨,
62', Silverholt T. 🟨,
63', Hult N. ↓, Okeke V. ↑,
63', Silverholt T. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
65', Karlsson K. ↓, Hussein B. ↑,
75', Frick P. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
76', Vukojevic D. ↓, Yiriyon G. ↑,
76', Hedlund S. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
85', Beck J. 🟨,
87', Barsoum E. ↓, Leonardsson O. ↑,
90+5', Sigurpalsson A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.

In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elfsborg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Degerfors: Berisson A. (Inactive) Diaby M. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Injury) Jakobsson W. (Inactive) Ohlsson S. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20:35	-15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.04.26	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Degerfors - Sirius	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Degerfors - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
08.03.26	IFK Göteborg - Degerfors	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Degerfors - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLT
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.04.26	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Elfsborg - Öster	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
08.03.26	Elfsborg - Sirius	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Sundsvall - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
27.09.25	Elfsborg - Degerfors	1:2
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1
Svenska Cupen
03.03.24	Elfsborg - Degerfors	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.11.23	Elfsborg - Degerfors	2:2
22.04.23	Degerfors - Elfsborg	1:2
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Elfsborg - Degerfors	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.10.22	Elfsborg - Degerfors	1:1

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