Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 15

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	GAIS		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.59	3.55	2.12
	3.67	3.41	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.52	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.56)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
26.6%

Draw
27.2%

Hammarby
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

GAIS - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Hammarby will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - GAIS (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hammarby (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (C) 6. Wangberg A. 22. Cardaklija A. 4. Agren O. 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 7. Fagerjord J. 17. Thorkelsson R. 16. Andersson M. 20. Salter S. 11. Niklasson R.	1. Hahn W. (C) 2. Skoglund H. 6. Fofana I. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 11. Johansson O. 8. Karlsson M. 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P. 9. Lind V. 29. Kabore E.
Substitutes
26. Asumang B. 27. Bawa M. 24. Beckman F. 21. Ekong S. 12. Frej R. 28. Hedlund L. 25. Lindberg J. 32. Pettersson O. 13. Sims K. (G)	28. Adjei F. 20. Besara N. 14. Collander D. 15. Hagen O. 33. Hedlof B. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 16. Persson N. 5. Tekie T. 19. Vasic N.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Skoglund H. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Niklasson R. ⚽,
45+1', Agren O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Kabore E. ↓, Besara N. ↑,
63', Madjed M. ↓, Adjei F. ↑,
66', Fagerjord J. 🟨,
71', Skoglund H. 🟨,
74', Adjei F. ↓, Hagen O. ↑,
74', Winther F. ↓, Persson N. ↑,
74', Niklasson R. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
80', Fagerjord J. ↓, Beckman F. ↑,
80', Andersson M. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Salter S. ⚽,
84', Abraham P. ↓, Vasic N. ↑,
86', Salter S. ↓, Ekong S. ↑,
87', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Frej R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hammarby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in GAIS: Hermansen A. (Inactive) Holmen K. (Injury) Lundgren G. (Injury) Sletsjoe H. (Inactive) Wendin Thomasson R. (Injury)

There will not play in Hammarby: Kone S. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hammarby: 19.55% GAIS: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49:20	29	43
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28:21	7	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.05.26	GAIS - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Västerås SK - GAIS	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	GAIS - Örgryte	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	2:2 ✺
23.04.26	GAIS - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWTT
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.26	Hammarby - Malmö	4:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
14.05.26	Mjällby - Hammarby	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.05.26	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hammarby - Västerås SK	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.25	Hammarby - GAIS	1:2
13.07.25	GAIS - Hammarby	3:2
26.08.24	Hammarby - GAIS	0:0
07.07.24	GAIS - Hammarby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
25.02.18	Hammarby - GAIS	3:3
Swedish Superettan
26.10.14	GAIS - Hammarby	0:0
18.06.14	Hammarby - GAIS	1:3

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