Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Degerfors		Landskrona

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.83	3.6	4.2	Watch
	2	3.45	3.47
	1.81	3.68	4.37
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.81	3.7	4.12	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)	3.55 ↑ (3.39)	3.98 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
50.7%

Draw
26.1%

Landskrona
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Degerfors's performance.

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Degerfors - Landskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Wallin O. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Bouzaiene E. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 8. Holmen K. 16. Demirol A. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. 13. Abdulla P. 9. Lindgren G.	1. Kaddoura A. (G) 19. Sundberg V. 12. Jonsson M. 6. Andersson P. (C) 2. Rahmani R. 10. Egnell A. 23. Nilsson M. 8. Dzabic R. 7. Karlsson V. 9. Ihler F. 47. Fosuhene Asare K.
Substitutes
11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 17. Kassi L. 4. Martensson J. 30. Morgado B. 10. Vukojevic D.	17. Burakovsky S. 13. Hedenquist E. 29. Hildeman S. (G) 24. Lindman E. 15. Mohamed M. 16. Strid J. 3. Weststrom G.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Molder M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Karlsson V. (A),
16', Sundberg V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Sundberg V. ⚽, Fosuhene Asare K. (A),
53', Egnell A. (Pen),
60', Abdulla P. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
60', Bouzaiene E. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
60', Demirol A. ↓, Martensson J. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Lindgren G. ⚽, Holmen K. (A),
68', Fosuhene Asare K. ↓, Strid J. ↑,
68', Dzabic R. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
71', Holmen K. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
77', Sundberg V. ↓, Burakovsky S. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Burakovsky S. ⚽, Ihler F. (A),
86', Karlsson V. ↓, Hedenquist E. ↑,
90', Andersson P. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
29.04.24	Trelleborg - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
23.04.24	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT
- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
27.04.24	Landskrona - Utsikten	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Brage - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Landskrona - Oddevold	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Skövde AIK - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Landskrona - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
10.08.18	Landskrona - Degerfors	1:2
21.04.18	Degerfors - Landskrona	2:1
25.08.14	Landskrona - Degerfors	2:0
07.05.14	Degerfors - Landskrona	0:1
05.08.13	Degerfors - Landskrona	2:0
06.04.13	Landskrona - Degerfors	1:0
27.08.12	Landskrona - Degerfors	0:0

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