Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Krsmanovic J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Trelleborg		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.5	3.4	1.93
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.61	3.54	2.08
	3.61	3.54	2.04
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.55	3.56	1.99	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.14)	3.49 ↑ (3.39)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
26.8%

Draw
26.6%

Degerfors
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Trelleborg - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: Degerfors will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 21. Alievski E. 2. Bjorken F. 16. Asani A. 7. Larsen P. 11. Culum A. 10. Karim H. 17. Bohman F.	1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Wallin O. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Bouzaiene E. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 8. Holmen K. 16. Demirol A. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. 13. Abdulla P. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
4. Andersson M. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 12. Hyltoft Z. 9. Mortensen N. 5. Ogwuche A. 29. Salama O. 37. Wendt K.	11. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 24. Ilunga D. P. 26. Jarlesand F. (G) 17. Kassi L. 30. Morgado B. 10. Vukojevic D.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Asani A. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Karim H. ⚽, Horberg F. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Abdulla P. ⚽, Bouzaiene E. (A),
40', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asani A. ↓, Hyltoft Z. ↑,
46', Bohman F. 🟨,
53', Hyltoft Z. 🟨,
66', Larsen P. ↓, Wendt K. ↑,
66', Karim H. ↓, Salama O. ↑,
70', Lindgren G. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
70', Abdulla P. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
75', Mammar Chaouche A. 🟨,
75', Bohman F. ↓, Mortensen N. ↑,
82', Vukojevic D. 🟨,
84', Salama O. 🟨,
85', Ohlsson S. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
88', Jakobsson W. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 1.

Trelleborg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Degerfors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Degerfors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Degerfors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
20.04.24	Skövde AIK - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Östersund - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Trelleborg - Oddevold	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.03.24	Trelleborg - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLT
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
23.04.24	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.03.24	Djurgården - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
25.10.20	Trelleborg - Degerfors	1:1
18.07.20	Degerfors - Trelleborg	1:0
17.08.19	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:2
08.06.19	Trelleborg - Degerfors	0:0
10.08.17	Trelleborg - Degerfors	2:1
22.07.17	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:3
18.09.16	Trelleborg - Degerfors	0:0

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