Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 2

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.45	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.39	3.21	3.12	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.35	3.3	3.09	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.09)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	3.17 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
40.9%

Draw
29.2%

Värnamo
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Degerfors - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Forsell R. (G) 4. Hien L. 30. Morgado B. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 16. Ohlsson S. 11. Gravius C. 8. Girmai N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Barsoum E. 19. Faraj O. 21. Pihlstrom E.	39. Andersson V. (G) 5. Larsson V. 6. Andersson H. 2. Rapp J. 24. Grozdanic E. 22. Thern S. (C) 8. Le Roux L. 11. Wenderson 7. Johansson C. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 9. Kalu J.
Substitutes
18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 17. Kassi L. 12. Lindell E. 22. Lundgren M. 15. Moro N. 5. Pikkarainen J. 27. Salifu Z.	32. Bilalovic K. 3. Bjornstrom A. 17. Bozicevic F. 28. Junior Adjei F. 1. Keto H. (G) 16. Lohikangas A. 4. Mohammed R. 20. Winsth F. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Sibila F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Andersson H. (Own goal),
13', Kalu J. 🟨,
13', Alsalkhadi M. 🟨,
13', Hien L. 🟨,
13', Forsell R. 🟨,
45+4', Wenderson 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Andersson H. ↓, Bjornstrom A. ↑,
70', Thern S. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
70', Kalu J. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
76', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
76', Diaby M. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
76', Barsoum E. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
80', Hien L. ↓, Pikkarainen J. ↑,
84', Ohlsson S. ↓, Heden Lindskog A. ↑,
90', Grozdanic E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 2.

Recent matches Degerfors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Värnamo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Degerfors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Degerfors have a series of guest games.

Recently Värnamo have a series of home games.

Degerfors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.03.25	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.02.25	Degerfors - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
14.02.25	AIK - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WTLWT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.03.25	Värnamo - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.02.25	AIK - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Värnamo - Trelleborg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
22.02.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	2:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.08.23	Värnamo - Degerfors	0:1
01.07.23	Degerfors - Värnamo	0:2
29.10.22	Degerfors - Värnamo	0:0
25.04.22	Värnamo - Degerfors	2:0
Swedish Superettan
16.09.18	Värnamo - Degerfors	1:2
02.06.18	Degerfors - Värnamo	4:1

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