Match Info

Superettan - Round 12

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.90
	2.22	3.5	2.98
	2.31	3.62	3.02
	2.23	3.49	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.55	2.93	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	2.93 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
41.7%

Draw
26.9%

Helsingborg
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

Värnamo - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Helsingborg (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 50%). Helsingborg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 13. Jansson S. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 4. Ohlsson S. 7. Johansson C. 24. Kamara M. 21. Abdulrazak I. 11. Shamoun N. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 58. Biten C. 3. Voelkerling Persson J. (C) 2. Awodesu F. 5. Bengtsson S. 31. Nordin A. 26. Sadiku L. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. 8. Gigovic E. 29. Appiah Nyarko K.
Substitutes
3. Bjornstrom A. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 16. Kujundzic A. 2. Rapp J. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	11. Akimey A. 45. Amadou D. 36. Hasselqvist J. 20. Hedenberg L. 42. Hyppanen L. 9. Johansson A. 18. Ljung Hofvendahl C. 19. Persson L. 40. Wagnborg V. (G)
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Grieve S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Andersson H. 🟨,
29', Voelkerling Persson J. ↓, Hyppanen L. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Sadiku L. ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
45', Awodesu F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Shamoun N. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
61', Jansson S. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
66', Appiah Nyarko K. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
66', Sadiku L. ↓, Amadou D. ↑,
73', Abdulrazak I. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
78', Voelkerling Persson J. 🟨,
83', Johansson C. 🟨,
84', Kamara M. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
86', Nordin A. ↓, Persson L. ↑,
86', Gigovic E. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5.

Värnamo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Helsingborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Helsingborg has had a series of home games.

Värnamo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Helsingborg	25	8	6	11	36:45	-9	30
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
09.06.26	Öster - Värnamo	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Värnamo - Norrby	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Värnamo - Örebro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
11.06.26	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:3 ✺
31.05.26	Helsingborg - Norrköping	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Örebro - Helsingborg	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Helsingborg - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1
Svenska Cupen
25.02.24	Helsingborg - Värnamo	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.09.22	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:2
21.05.22	Helsingborg - Värnamo	1:4
Swedish Superettan
06.11.21	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1
22.07.21	Helsingborg - Värnamo	2:3
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Helsingborg - Värnamo	0:0

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