Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 13

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Anderlecht U23

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.05	Watch
				Watch
	2.82	3.65	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.85	2.21
	2.83	3.83	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.78	3.58	2.17
	2.71	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.18)	3.66 ↓ (3.97)	2.18 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
32.6%

Draw
25.2%

Anderlecht U23
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

23.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

22.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk U23's form might have worsened.

Anderlecht U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anderlecht U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht U23 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anderlecht U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	33.3%	13.3%

Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Anderlecht U23 will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk U23: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 73. Mbavu E. 85. Kang Min-Woo 65. Akpan C. 86. Haroun K. 84. Sarfo E. 67. Camara A. 56. De Wannemacker A. 11. Oyen L. (C) 23. Bibout A.	66. Haentjens M. (G) 72. Akomolede B. 25. Foket T. 68. Antwi D. 78. Tajaouart A. 64. de Ridder A. 50. Barry K. 56. Mahroug A. 61. Nga K. 99. Kanate I. 76. Van De Ven T.
Substitutes
72. Barry A. 50. Beniangba V. 62. Cauwel M. 66. Coenen J. 76. Driessen J. 53. Mocsnik M. 79. Nzoko D. 80. Toure S. 82. Vliegen O. (G)	77. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 80. De Corte D. 86. Gijsbers L. (G) 45. Kana J. 90. N'Dao P. 82. Ntanda S. 28. Sternal E. 57. Sylla G. 62. Vroninks B.
Coaches
Van Rumst J.	Coen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', Pierre K. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Bibout A. (Penalty Awarded),
9', 2 - 0, Oyen L. ⚽, De Wannemacker A. (A),
11', 3 - 0, Bibout A. ⚽, Haroun K. (A),
13', 3 - 1, Van De Ven T. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Akomolede B. ↓, De Corte D. ↑,
33', de Ridder A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Foket T. ↓, Vroninks B. ↑,
65', Kanate I. ↓, N'Dao P. ↑,
67', Oyen L. ↓, Barry A. ↑,
67', Haroun K. ↓, Cauwel M. ↑,
67', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Driessen J. ↑,
69', Antwi D. 🟨,
73', Camara A. ↓, Nzoko D. ↑,
76', Barry A. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Nga K. ⚽, Mahroug A. (A),
84', Mahroug A. ↓, Sternal E. ↑,
85', Van De Ven T. ↓, Ntanda S. ↑,
90', Sarfo E. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Genk U23 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk U23 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4 ✺
22.11.25	Gent U23 - Genk U23	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTTL
- Anderlecht U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Anderlecht U23 - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Lierse - Anderlecht U23	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Anderlecht U23 - Seraing	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Anderlecht U23	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Anderlecht U23 - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.01.25	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	4:1
06.10.24	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	1:0
27.01.24	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	3:0
01.09.23	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	1:1
02.12.22	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	2:0
16.10.22	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	3:2

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