Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Francs Borains

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.98	3.5	2.18
	3.2	3.73	2.13
	3.03	2.91	2.53	Watch
	2.97	3.55	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	2.22 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
30.4%

Draw
27.2%

Francs Borains
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Francs Borains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Genk U23 - Francs Borains Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 73. Mbavu E. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 87. Yasuda K. 56. De Wannemacker A. 11. Oyen L. 67. Camara A. 50. Beniangba V. 23. Bibout A.	40. Swinnen V. (G) 28. Francotte M. 77. Dalle Molle J. 24. Dessoleil D. (C) 5. Van Oudenhove J. 7. Wydra P. 17. Bruno M. 8. Mondele L. 15. Essiam E. 25. Lavie C. 10. Ali Abdallah A.
Substitutes
66. Coenen J. 52. Da Costa W. 70. Decresson L. 86. Haroun K. 60. Lazar S. E. 53. Mocsnik M. 79. Nzoko D. 84. Sarfo E. 82. Vliegen O. (G)	29. Bastian M. 33. Diliberto N. 18. Donnez R. 20. Gece T. 26. Lamblin D. (G) 14. Lucas Lima 23. Malungu L. 9. Mituljikic J. 98. Soladio J.
Coaches
Van Rumst J.	de Camargo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Wydra P. ⚽,
26', Ali Abdallah A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Essiam E. ↓, Gece T. ↑,
60', Lavie C. ↓, Mituljikic J. ↑,
60', Ali Abdallah A. ↓, Soladio J. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Oyen L. ⚽, Beniangba V. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Oyen L. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
71', Bruno M. ↓, Diliberto N. ↑,
76', Yoshinaga Y. ↓, Sarfo E. ↑,
78', Van Oudenhove J. ↓, Bastian M. ↑,
80', Camara A. ↓, Nzoko D. ↑,
83', Francotte M. 🟨,
90+3', Gece T. 🟨,
90+5', Beniangba V. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Francs Borains may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Francs Borains could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
26.09.25	Genk U23 - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:4 ✺
23.09.25	Genk U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Lommel - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Genk U23 - Kortrijk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.10.25	Francs Borains - Anderlecht U23	3:3 ✺
23.09.25	Francs Borains - Seraing	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Francs Borains	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Francs Borains - Eupen	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Kortrijk - Francs Borains	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.12.24	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:2
01.09.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:2
12.04.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:1
20.08.23	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:5

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