Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Delfín		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.35	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.17
	3.27	3.5	2.26
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.44	3.42	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.75)	3.4 ↓ (3.57)	2.16 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
28.7%

Draw
27.7%

Santos
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

21.6%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	6.9%	55.2%

Delfín - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Santos will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Delfín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Delfín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Delfín won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.09.20	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Defensa y Justicia - Delfín	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.20	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	4:2 ✺
06.09.20	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
02.09.20	Olmedo - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.20	Botafogo RJ - Santos	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.20	Santos - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.20	Santos - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
09.09.20	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
05.09.20	Ceará - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.03.20	Santos - Delfín	1:0

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