Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Caze TV, TV Record
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botafogo RJ		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.25
	2.12	3.40	3.40	Watch
	2.30	3.46	3.37
	2.19	3.46	3.31	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.30
	2.26	3.36	3.43	Watch
	2.24	3.50	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	3.31 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
43.1%

Draw
28%

Santos
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	17.4%	4.3%

Botafogo RJ - Santos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 2. Vitinho 34. Justino G. 5. Ferraresi N. 13. Alex Telles (C) 75. Huguinho 6. Medina C. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 59. Kauan Toledo 11. Matheus Martins 79. Jales do Nascimento L. E.	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 48. Gustavo Henrique 30. Miguelito 32. Rollheiser B. 22. Barreal A. 16. Thaciano
Substitutes
26. Anthony 14. Barrera J. 37. Barria K. 62. Cleber (G) 63. da Silva Neves H. G. 88. Edenilson 38. Goncalves dos Santos V. H. 42. Kadu Santos 21. Marcal 4. Ponte M. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S.	1. Diogenes (G) 27. Fernandes D. 98. Frias A. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 25. Gabriel Menino 26. Joao Ananias 57. Nadson 28. Oliva C. 81. Pierri S. 7. Robinho Jr. 11. Rony
Coaches
Carvalho F.	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Huguinho 🟨,
26', Thaciano 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jales do Nascimento L. E. ⚽, Kauan Toledo (A),
45+2', Barreal A. 🟨,
45+2', Matheus Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽,
64', Miguelito ↓, Nadson ↑,
64', Thaciano ↓, Rony ↑,
64', Matheus Martins ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
71', Igor Vinicius ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
71', Rollheiser B. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
79', Kauan Toledo ↓, Barria K. ↑,
79', Jales do Nascimento L. E. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
80', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
86', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
86', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Barria K. ⚽,
90+5', Barria K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.

Recent form of Botafogo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.

Recently, Santos has had a series of home games.

Botafogo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45:43	2	42
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - Botafogo RJ	Canceled ✺
04.07.26	CSKA Moscow - Botafogo RJ	Canceled ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.05.26	Bahia - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Caracas - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ??LWT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
30.05.26	Santos - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Grêmio - Santos	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Santos - San Lorenzo	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:2
01.06.25	Santos - Botafogo RJ	0:1
26.11.23	Botafogo RJ - Santos	1:1
23.07.23	Santos - Botafogo RJ	2:2
10.11.22	Botafogo RJ - Santos	3:0
20.07.22	Santos - Botafogo RJ	2:0
17.01.21	Santos - Botafogo RJ	2:1

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