Match Info

Date: 15 September 2020, Tuesday


	Santos		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.1
	1.81	3.65	4	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.8
	1.89	3.8	3.96
	1.88	3.7	3.9
	1.85	3.74	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.37)	3.66 ↓ (4.55)	3.99 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
50.8%

Draw
25.7%

Olimpia Asuncion
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.9%

17.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+28.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Santos - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Olimpia will win (votes: 26 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 50.2% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Olimpia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santos have a series of home games.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.20	Santos - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
09.09.20	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
05.09.20	Ceará - Santos	0:1 ✺
02.09.20	Santos - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Santos - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:4 ✺
05.09.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	4:0 ✺
30.08.20	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
26.08.20	12 de Octubre - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
21.08.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

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