The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Democrata GV 49.8%
Draw 28%
Ipatinga 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
28.6%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
27.8%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Democrata GV - Ipatinga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Luis Augusto (G) 8. Alemao 2. Almir Silva 10. Bruninho 3. Donato 9. Gutinho 13. Luanderson 4. Lula 11. Pedro 7. Richard 6. Wender
1. Douglas Baldini (G) 3. Alex Trindade 2. Ezio 10. Gerson Magrao (C) 9. Luis Felipe 5. Marquinhos Bento 6. Neto 4. Nilo 8. Paranhos 11. PH 7. Vico
Substitutes
12. Diego (G) 23. Gabriel Pereira 25. Gabriel William 14. Iago Cousseau 22. John Lennon 18. Jorge Pedra 5. Luann 19. Moroto 17. Paulo Victor 15. Rafael Caldeira 20. Thiago Andre 16. Weslen
17. Alex Matos 19. Breno Cezar 15. Cleylton 13. Gabriel Nunes 18. Julio Gabriel 21. Luiz Henrique 16. Pedrinho 25. Raphael Lopes 20. Raynan 14. Ruan 23. Wesley Hudson 12. William Menezes (G)
Coaches
Wladimir Araujo
Fabiano Braz
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Ezio 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Alemao (Pen),
21', Bruninho 🟨,
32', Gerson Magrao ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
34', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Pedro ⚽, Gutinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vico ↓, Alex Matos ↑,
57', Alemao ↓, Moroto ↑,
57', Gutinho ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
59', Alex Trindade 🟨,
63', Luis Felipe ↓, Raphael Lopes ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Moroto ⚽, Richard (A),
72', Pedro ↓, Thiago Andre ↑,
74', Raphael Lopes 🟨,
75', Richard ↓, Jorge Pedra ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Thiago Andre ⚽, Luis Augusto (A),
78', Paranhos ↓, Wesley Hudson ↑,
78', Marquinhos Bento ↓, Raynan ↑,
80', Lula 🟨,
90', 4 - 1, Raphael Lopes ⚽, Ezio (A),
Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Democrata GV will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.