Match Info

BRAZIL: MINEIRO - RELEGATION - ROUND 2

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)

Referee: Misson Junior M. F. (Bra)


	Democrata GV		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.95
				Watch
	2.29	3.19	3.26
	2.29	3.19	3.26
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	2.24	3.18	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	3.1 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
41.1%

Draw
29%

Patrocinense
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Democrata GV - Patrocinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luis Augusto (G) 22. Wender 4. Lula 3. Donato 6. Almir Silva 13. Luanderson 8. Alemao 7. Richard 10. Bruninho 9. Gutinho 11. Pedro	1. Denison (G) 22. Hudson 4. Leo Alves 14. Iago Mendonca 23. Bruno Oliveira 18. Matheus Santos 5. Guilherme 98. Luan Silva 10. Caiuby 7. Caique Lemes 11. Marcilio
Substitutes
12. Diego (G) 17. Gabriel Pereira 18. Joao Sala 25. John Lennon 15. Jorge Pedra 23. Kauan 5. Luann 19. Moroto 16. Paulo Victor 14. Rafael Caldeira 20. Thiago Andre 99. Thiago Washington	6. Ailton Santos 28. Andrey Fernandes 15. De Azevedo Barcellos V. 19. dos Santos Alves E. L. 26. Gianluca (G) 21. Jackson Vinicius 13. Miguel Baggio 27. Vagninho
Coaches
Wladimir Araujo	Celio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Luanderson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luanderson ↓, Luann ↑,
63', Pedro ↓, Thiago Andre ↑,
67', Caique Lemes ↓, Vagninho ↑,
67', Luan Silva ↓, Cleber Lucas dos Santos ↑,
71', Cleber Lucas dos Santos 🟨,
72', Almir Silva 🟨,
74', Bruninho 🟨,
75', Bruninho ↓, Moroto ↑,
80', Matheus Santos ↓, dos Santos Alves E. L. ↑,
81', Alemao ↓, John Lennon ↑,
89', Caiuby ↓, Jackson Vinicius ↑,
89', Moroto ⚽,
90', Moroto 🟨,
90+5', Gutinho ↓, Joao Sala ↑,
90+7', Joao Sala 🟨,
90+7', Joao Sala 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Patrocinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.03.24	Ipatinga - Democrata GV	4:3 ✺
02.03.24	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ipatinga - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
14.02.24	Pouso Alegre - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.03.24	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Itabirito - Patrocinense	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Tombense - Patrocinense	4:0 ✺
14.02.24	Patrocinense - Ipatinga	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Cruzeiro - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Patrocinense - Democrata GV	1:1
26.01.22	Democrata GV - Patrocinense	1:1
04.02.18	Patrocinense - Democrata GV	1:1

Democrata GV - Patrocinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide