Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 8

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Democrata GV		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.6	4.2	1.39
	8.85	4.4	1.38
	7.86	4.29	1.37	Watch
	7.5	4	1.4
	8.44	4.3	1.37	Watch
	6.6	4.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.64 ↑ (6.08)	4.23 ↑ (3.98)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
12%

Draw
21.7%

Cruzeiro
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.2%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.6%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Democrata GV - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thulio (G) 2. Lucas Lima 3. Donato 4. Lula 6. Wender 13. Luanderson 10. Luann 8. Caetano 7. Murilo Rosa 9. Gutinho 11. Wallace	41. Leo Aragao (G) 23. Fagner 34. Jonathan Jesus 25. Villalba L. 3. Marlon 5. Walace 16. Lucas Silva 21. Eduardo 17. Marquinhos 18. Tevis 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
15. Antonio Junior 18. Cleidson 16. Dominy 5. Felipe Alves 20. Indio 17. Juan Carlos 21. Marcolino N. 14. Thiago Washington 12. Tiago Paiva (G)	44. Bruno Alves 32. Janderson 6. Kaiki 70. Kenji 24. Marcelo Eraclito (G) 10. Matheus Pereira 81. Otavio Costa (G) 33. Peralta F. 75. Rodriguinho 39. Ruan Indio 12. William Furtado
Coaches
Wladimir Araujo	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Fagner (A),
16', 1 - 1, Luann ⚽,
30', Fagner 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
57', Marlon ↓, Kaiki ↑,
72', Walace ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
72', Marquinhos ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
79', Murilo Rosa ↓, Antonio Junior ↑,
79', Gutinho ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Juan Carlos ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
85', Caetano ↓, Felipe Alves ↑,
89', Wallace ↓, Marcolino N. ↑,
89', Luann ↓, Dominy ↑,
90+1', Wender 🟨,

Preview

Cruzeiro is Qualified for Mineiro (Play Offs )

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Cruzeiro is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.25	Aymorés - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
06.02.25	Uberlândia - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	2:4 ✺
29.01.25	Betim - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Democrata GV - Tombense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLTL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cruzeiro - Uberlândia	3:1 ✺
30.01.25	Itabirito - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
25.01.25	Cruzeiro - Betim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.02.24	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:3
09.02.22	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	1:0
09.02.18	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	0:2
09.04.17	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	2:0
01.02.15	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:2

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