Match Info

BRAZIL: MINEIRO - RELEGATION - ROUND 1

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Joao Lamego Netto (Ipatinga)

Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)


	Ipatinga		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.35	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.36	3.05	3.27
	2.36	3.05	3.27
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.34	2.99	3.16	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.12)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.13 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipatinga
40.5%

Draw
29.9%

Democrata GV
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Ipatinga - Democrata GV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Baldini (G) 3. Alex Trindade 4. Cleylton 2. Ezio 10. Gerson Magrao (C) 9. Luis Felipe 5. Marquinhos Bento 6. Neto 8. Paranhos 11. PH 7. Vico	1. Luis Augusto (G) 8. Alemao 10. Bruninho 9. Gutinho 5. Jorge Pedra 4. Lula 11. Pedro 3. Rafael Caldeira 7. Thiago Andre 6. Wender 2. Weslen
Substitutes
17. Alex Matos 19. Breno Cezar 13. Gabriel Nunes 15. Jean Carlos 21. Julio Gabriel 16. Pedrinho 25. Raphael Lopes 20. Raynan 14. Ruan 23. Valdson 18. Wesley Hudson 12. William Menezes (G)	12. Diego (G) 13. Donato 17. Gabriel Pereira 15. Gabriel William 22. Joao Sala 25. John Lennon 18. Kauan 16. Luanderson 14. Luann 19. Moroto 20. Paulo Victor 23. Sota A.
Coaches
Fabiano Braz	Wladimir Araujo

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ipatinga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipatinga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipatinga
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.03.24	Atlético Mineiro - Ipatinga	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ipatinga - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ipatinga - Uberlândia	0:1 ✺
14.02.24	Patrocinense - Ipatinga	2:1 ✺
08.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Ipatinga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLT
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.03.24	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ipatinga - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
14.02.24	Pouso Alegre - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
07.02.24	Democrata GV - Tombense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.02.24	Ipatinga - Democrata GV	2:0

Ipatinga - Democrata GV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide