Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)


	Democrata GV		Ivinhema

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.90	6.00
	1.55	3.45	5.75
	1.44	4.00	7.45
	1.49	3.94	6.18	Watch
	1.41	3.80	7.35
	1.51	3.86	6.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	6.59 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
62.2%

Draw
23.9%

Ivinhema
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

25%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ivinhema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivinhema than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Democrata GV - Ivinhema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Corona G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 1, Vieira G. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Democrata GV is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Democrata GV won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Ivinhema - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Noroeste - Democrata GV	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Democrata GV - Rio Branco AC ES	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Democrata GV - Porto SC	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tombense - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWL
- Ivinhema FC
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Ivinhema - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Ivinhema	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ivinhema - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Betim - Ivinhema	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Operário MS - Ivinhema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Ivinhema - Democrata GV	3:1

Democrata GV - Ivinhema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide